The Effect
All those Bush ads are having an effect. 41 percent of Americans now see John Kerry as “too liberal,” up from 29 percent in January. This has had an effect in the head-to-head matchup as well.
However, as I never tire of saying, there are still seven months left until the elections. In that period, there will be important events, including gay marriages in Massachusetts, the handover of power in Iraq, the Democrat national convention in Boston (out of which Kerry will get a huge bounce; he’s an effective speaker, no matter what the pundits say), the Summer Olympics, the GOP national convention in New York, the elections in Afghanistan in September, US presidential debates, and any unforeseen surprises such as a terrorist attack or an October Surprise. Polls taken at this point in time mean very little.
-- PoliPundit